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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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UK Lotto · draw

Wednesday, 12 July 2023

ResultUK Lotto

Single source
  1. 3
  2. 30
  3. 44
  4. 50
  5. 52
  6. 57
  7. 45

Jackpot£5,411,637

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/59 + 1/59 · since Oct 2015draw 810 of 1,191 under them

← 2023-07-08All recent draws2023-07-15 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed3 30 44 50 52 57 + 4529 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 12 July 2023 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

33oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 33 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 11% of every possible ticket.

  • sum92th
  • odd20th
  • low20th
  • widest gap89th
  • neighbours29th
  • spread91th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 82 of each

382times
3076times
4477times
5079times
52

Prize breakdown · 2023-07-12

  • Lines in play≈ 5.1Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out£1.9Mto 52k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 98lines took a prize
  • Match 60 winnerschance said 0.11

Where the money went

  • Match 54.6%£85.8K
  • Match 415%£276.2K
  • Match 381%£1.5M
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10k100k1M10MPrize each
  1. Match 60≈ 0.11 by chance£5,411,637
  2. Match 5 plus Bonus Ball

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

104times
5784times

Every number was expected about that many times after 809 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 6 numbers (30, 44, 50, 57) with the draw of 6 July 2019 — its closest relative in 809 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 31% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (8 July 2023): nothing carried over. Chance says 49% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

236

The numbers add up to 236 — the 92th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 180. No two numbers side by side. 43% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

30 had not appeared for 28 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.7× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 80% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
0≈ 0.68 by chance
no winners
  • Match 549≈ 35 by chance£1,750
  • Match 41,973≈ 2.3k by chance£140
  • Match 350,041≈ 53k by chance£30.00
  • Match 20≈ 497k by chance£2.00
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈5.1M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 2 — 0 winners, 100% fewer than the 497k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were noticeably less popular than average — a draw full of birthdays makes more small winners, a draw of high numbers fewer. That is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 20£2.00
    Match 350,041£30.00
    Match 41,973£140
    Match 549£1,750
    Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0£0.00
    Match 60£5,411,637