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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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UK Lotto · draw

Saturday, 4 March 2023

ResultUK Lotto

Single source
  1. 6
  2. 16
  3. 24
  4. 30
  5. 33
  6. 44
  7. 7

Jackpot£4,033,045

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/59 + 1/59 · since Oct 2015draw 773 of 1,193 under them

← 2023-03-01All recent draws2023-03-08 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed6 16 24 30 33 44 + 729 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 4 March 2023 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

40oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 40 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 21% of every possible ticket.

  • sum25th
  • odd5th
  • low77th
  • widest gap9th
  • neighbours29th
  • spread28th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 79 of each

671times
1676times
2468times
3073times
33

Prize breakdown · 2023-03-04

  • Lines in play≈ 15Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out£7.6Mto 152k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 97lines took a prize
  • Match 60 winnerschance said 0.33

Where the money went

  • Match 5 plus Bonus Ball26%£2M
  • Match 414%£1M
  • Match 357%£4.3M
  • 1 other tier3.2%£245K
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1M10MPrize each
  1. Match 60≈ 0.33 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

73times
4471times

Every number was expected about that many times after 772 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 6 numbers (16, 24, 44) with the draw of 28 May 2022 — its closest relative in 772 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (1 March 2023): nothing carried over. Chance says 49% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

153

The numbers add up to 153 — the 25th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 180. No two numbers side by side. 43% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

24 had not appeared for 41 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.2× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 69% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
£4,033,045
  • Match 5 plus Bonus Ball2≈ 2.0 by chance£1,000,000
  • Match 5140≈ 102 by chance£1,750
  • Match 47,391≈ 6.7k by chance£140
  • Match 3144,016≈ 153k by chance£30.00
  • Match 20≈ 1.4M by chance£2.00
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈15M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 2 — 0 winners, 100% fewer than the 1.4M an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were noticeably less popular than average — a draw full of birthdays makes more small winners, a draw of high numbers fewer. That is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 20£2.00
    Match 3144,016£30.00
    Match 47,391£140
    Match 5140£1,750
    Match 5 plus Bonus Ball2£1,000,000
    Match 60£4,033,045