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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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UK Lotto · draw

Saturday, 12 November 2022

ResultUK Lotto

Single source
  1. 4
  2. 11
  3. 22
  4. 37
  5. 44
  6. 48
  7. 39

Jackpot£4,006,571

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/59 + 1/59 · since Oct 2015draw 741 of 1,187 under them

← 2022-11-09All recent draws2022-11-16 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed4 11 22 37 44 48 + 3929 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 12 November 2022 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

71oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 71 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 91% of every possible ticket.

  • sum37th
  • odd20th
  • low48th
  • widest gap29th
  • neighbours29th
  • spread50th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 75 of each

475times
1177times
2266times
3786times
44

Prize breakdown · 2022-11-12

  • Lines in play≈ 15Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out£9.8Mto 154k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 96lines took a prize
  • Match 61 winnerchance said 0.33

Where the money went

  • Match 641%£4.0M
  • Match 412%£1.2M
  • Match 344%£4.4M
  • 1 other tier2.9%£280.0K
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1M10MPrize each
  1. Match 61≈ 0.33 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

68times
4864times

Every number was expected about that many times after 740 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 6 numbers (4, 22, 37) with the draw of 23 February 2022 — its closest relative in 740 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (9 November 2022): 44 carried over. Chance says 49% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

166

The numbers add up to 166 — the 36th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 180. No two numbers side by side. 43% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

22 had not appeared for 14 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.9× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 76% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
£4,006,571
  • Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0≈ 2.0 by chanceno winners
  • Match 5160≈ 103 by chance£1,750
  • Match 48,341≈ 6.8k by chance£140
  • Match 3145,449≈ 154k by chance£30.00
  • Match 20≈ 1.4M by chance£2.00
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈15M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 2 — 0 winners, 100% fewer than the 1.4M an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were noticeably less popular than average — a draw full of birthdays makes more small winners, a draw of high numbers fewer. That is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 20£2.00
    Match 3145,449£30.00
    Match 48,341£140
    Match 5160£1,750
    Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0£0.00
    Match 61£4,006,571