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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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UK Lotto · draw

Saturday, 23 October 2021

ResultUK Lotto

Single source
  1. 4
  2. 13
  3. 21
  4. 27
  5. 28
  6. 37
  7. 19

Jackpot£7,265,148

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/59 + 1/59 · since Oct 2015draw 631 of 1,189 under them

← 2021-10-20All recent draws2021-10-27 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed4 13 21 27 28 37 + 1929 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 23 October 2021 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

28oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 28 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 6% of every possible ticket.

  • sum11th
  • odd77th
  • low94th
  • widest gap4th
  • neighbours75th
  • spread15th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 64 of each

466times
1358times
2154times
2777times
28

Prize breakdown · 2021-10-23

  • Lines in play≈ 16Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out£7.2Mto 168k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 97lines took a prize
  • Match 60 winnerschance said 0.36

Where the money went

  • Match 5 plus Bonus Ball14%£1M
  • Match 416%£1.1M
  • Match 367%£4.8M
  • 1 other tier3.4%£246.8K
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1M10MPrize each
  1. Match 60≈ 0.36 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

59times
3771times

Every number was expected about that many times after 630 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 6 numbers (4, 21, 27, 28) with the draw of 19 December 2020 — its closest relative in 630 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 25% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (20 October 2021): 27, 37 carried over. Chance says 49% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

130

The numbers add up to 130 — the 11th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 180. Side-by-side numbers: 27–28. 43% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

28 had not appeared for 15 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.2× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 69% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
£7,265,148
  • Match 5 plus Bonus Ball1≈ 2.2 by chance£1,000,000
  • Match 5141≈ 112 by chance£1,750
  • Match 48,093≈ 7.4k by chance£140
  • Match 3159,282≈ 169k by chance£30.00
  • Match 20≈ 1.6M by chance£2.00
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈16M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 2 — 0 winners, 100% fewer than the 1.6M an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were noticeably less popular than average — a draw full of birthdays makes more small winners, a draw of high numbers fewer. That is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 20£2.00
    Match 3159,282£30.00
    Match 48,093£140
    Match 5141£1,750
    Match 5 plus Bonus Ball1£1,000,000
    Match 60£7,265,148