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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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UK Lotto · draw

Saturday, 18 September 2021

ResultUK Lotto

Single source
  1. 19
  2. 32
  3. 44
  4. 45
  5. 52
  6. 53
  7. 12

Jackpot£15,000,000

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/59 + 1/59 · since Oct 2015draw 621 of 1,189 under them

← 2021-09-15All recent draws2021-09-22 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed19 32 44 45 52 53 + 1229 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 18 September 2021 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

32oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 32 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 11% of every possible ticket.

  • sum95th
  • odd48th
  • low5th
  • widest gap17th
  • neighbours96th
  • spread17th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 63 of each

1964times
3265times
4455times
4569times
52

Prize breakdown · 2021-09-18

  • Lines in play≈ 11Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out£13.4Mto 114k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 98lines took a prize
  • Match 60 winnerschance said 0.25

Where the money went

  • Match 54.5%£604.1K
  • Match 410%£1.3M
  • Match 386%£11.5M
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1M10M100MPrize each
  1. Match 60≈ 0.25 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

82times
5355times

Every number was expected about that many times after 620 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 6 numbers (32, 44, 52) with the draw of 29 June 2019 — its closest relative in 620 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (15 September 2021): nothing carried over. Chance says 49% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

245

The numbers add up to 245 — the 95th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 180. Side-by-side numbers: 44–45, 52–53. 43% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

53 had not appeared for 24 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.4× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 89% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
£15,000,000
  • Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0≈ 1.5 by chanceno winners
  • Match 567≈ 77 by chance£9,017
  • Match 44,346≈ 5.1k by chance£295
  • Match 3109,249≈ 116k by chance£105
  • Match 20≈ 1.1M by chance£2.00
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈11M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 2 — 0 winners, 100% fewer than the 1.1M an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were noticeably less popular than average — a draw full of birthdays makes more small winners, a draw of high numbers fewer. That is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 20£2.00
    Match 3109,249£105
    Match 44,346£295
    Match 567£9,017
    Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0£0.00
    Match 60£15,000,000