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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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UK Lotto · draw

Saturday, 4 September 2021

ResultUK Lotto

Single source
  1. 1
  2. 14
  3. 21
  4. 36
  5. 39
  6. 41
  7. 34

Jackpot£20,000,000

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/59 + 1/59 · since Oct 2015draw 617 of 1,189 under them

← 2021-09-01All recent draws2021-09-08 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed1 14 21 36 39 41 + 3429 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 4 September 2021 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

63oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 63 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 76% of every possible ticket.

  • sum25th
  • odd77th
  • low48th
  • widest gap29th
  • neighbours29th
  • spread35th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 63 of each

160times
1461times
2151times
3676times
39

Prize breakdown · 2021-09-04

  • Lines in play≈ 16Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out£20.2Mto 166k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 98lines took a prize
  • Match 60 winnerschance said 0.36

Where the money went

  • Match 5 plus Bonus Ball12%£2.4M
  • Match 49.0%£1.8M
  • Match 375%£15.3M
  • 1 other tier3.9%£798.7K
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1M10M100MPrize each
  1. Match 60≈ 0.36 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

69times
4166times

Every number was expected about that many times after 616 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 6 numbers (14, 39, 41) with the draw of 26 June 2021 — its closest relative in 616 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (1 September 2021): 41 carried over. Chance says 49% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

152

The numbers add up to 152 — the 24th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 180. No two numbers side by side. 43% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

21 had not appeared for 22 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.8× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 78% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
£20,000,000
  • Match 5 plus Bonus Ball2≈ 2.2 by chance£1,187,129
  • Match 5100≈ 112 by chance£7,987
  • Match 46,710≈ 7.4k by chance£270
  • Match 3158,877≈ 168k by chance£96.00
  • Match 20≈ 1.6M by chance£2.00
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈16M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 2 — 0 winners, 100% fewer than the 1.6M an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were noticeably less popular than average — a draw full of birthdays makes more small winners, a draw of high numbers fewer. That is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 20£2.00
    Match 3158,877£96.00
    Match 46,710£270
    Match 5100£7,987
    Match 5 plus Bonus Ball2£1,187,129
    Match 60£20,000,000