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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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UK Lotto · draw

Saturday, 17 July 2021

ResultUK Lotto

Single source
  1. 3
  2. 25
  3. 33
  4. 35
  5. 48
  6. 56
  7. 1

Jackpot£20,000,000

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/59 + 1/59 · since Oct 2015draw 603 of 1,191 under them

← 2021-07-14All recent draws2021-07-21 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed3 25 33 35 48 56 + 129 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 17 July 2021 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

48oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 48 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 38% of every possible ticket.

  • sum69th
  • odd77th
  • low20th
  • widest gap72th
  • neighbours29th
  • spread87th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 61 of each

357times
2558times
3353times
3563times
48

Prize breakdown · 2021-07-17

  • Lines in play≈ 14Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out£19Mto 147k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 98lines took a prize
  • Match 60 winnerschance said 0.32

Where the money went

  • Match 5 plus Bonus Ball7.3%£1.4M
  • Match 49.1%£1.7M
  • Match 380%£15.1M
  • 1 other tier4.0%£758.5K
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1M10M100MPrize each
  1. Match 60≈ 0.32 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

48times
5662times

Every number was expected about that many times after 602 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 6 numbers (3, 33, 56) with the draw of 7 November 2020 — its closest relative in 602 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (14 July 2021): 35 carried over. Chance says 49% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

200

The numbers add up to 200 — the 68th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 180. No two numbers side by side. 43% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

25 had not appeared for 28 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.6× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 82% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
£20,000,000
  • Match 5 plus Bonus Ball1≈ 1.9 by chance£1,387,899
  • Match 564≈ 100 by chance£11,851
  • Match 45,861≈ 6.6k by chance£294
  • Match 3141,374≈ 150k by chance£107
  • Match 20≈ 1.4M by chance£2.00
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈14M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 2 — 0 winners, 100% fewer than the 1.4M an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were noticeably less popular than average — a draw full of birthdays makes more small winners, a draw of high numbers fewer. That is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 20£2.00
    Match 3141,374£107
    Match 45,861£294
    Match 564£11,851
    Match 5 plus Bonus Ball1£1,387,899
    Match 60£20,000,000