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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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UK Lotto · draw

Saturday, 1 May 2021

ResultUK Lotto

Single source
  1. 7
  2. 10
  3. 31
  4. 32
  5. 34
  6. 40
  7. 14

Jackpot£4,199,425

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/59 + 1/59 · since Oct 2015draw 581 of 1,189 under them

← 2021-04-28All recent draws2021-05-05 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed7 10 31 32 34 40 + 1429 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 1 May 2021 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

47oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 47 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 35% of every possible ticket.

  • sum26th
  • odd20th
  • low20th
  • widest gap67th
  • neighbours75th
  • spread15th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 59 of each

756times
1057times
3158times
3262times
34

Prize breakdown · 2021-05-01

  • Lines in play≈ 13Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out£7.5Mto 128k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 98lines took a prize
  • Match 60 winnerschance said 0.28

Where the money went

  • Match 5 plus Bonus Ball40%£3M
  • Match 410%£722.3K
  • Match 349%£3.7M
  • 1 other tier1.4%£101.5K
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1M10MPrize each
  1. Match 60≈ 0.28 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

61times
4063times

Every number was expected about that many times after 580 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 6 numbers (7, 34, 40) with the draw of 19 September 2018 — its closest relative in 580 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (28 April 2021): nothing carried over. Chance says 49% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

154

The numbers add up to 154 — the 26th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 180. Side-by-side numbers: 31–32. 43% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

10 had not appeared for 38 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.1× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 71% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
£4,199,425
  • Match 5 plus Bonus Ball3≈ 1.7 by chance£1,000,000
  • Match 558≈ 87 by chance£1,750
  • Match 45,159≈ 5.8k by chance£140
  • Match 3123,149≈ 131k by chance£30.00
  • Match 20≈ 1.2M by chance£2.00
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈13M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 2 — 0 winners, 100% fewer than the 1.2M an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were noticeably less popular than average — a draw full of birthdays makes more small winners, a draw of high numbers fewer. That is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 20£2.00
    Match 3123,149£30.00
    Match 45,159£140
    Match 558£1,750
    Match 5 plus Bonus Ball3£1,000,000
    Match 60£4,199,425