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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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UK Lotto · draw

Saturday, 13 March 2021

ResultUK Lotto

Single source
  1. 6
  2. 8
  3. 11
  4. 17
  5. 29
  6. 44
  7. 20

Jackpot£4,334,826

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/59 + 1/59 · since Oct 2015draw 567 of 1,189 under them

← 2021-03-10All recent draws2021-03-17 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed6 8 11 17 29 44 + 2029 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 13 March 2021 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

48oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 48 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 39% of every possible ticket.

  • sum5th
  • odd48th
  • low94th
  • widest gap29th
  • neighbours29th
  • spread28th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 58 of each

647times
872times
1164times
1754times
29

Prize breakdown · 2021-03-13

  • Lines in play≈ 22Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out£19.3Mto 233k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 96lines took a prize
  • Match 61 winnerchance said 0.49

Where the money went

  • Match 622%£4.3M
  • Match 5 plus Bonus Ball31%£6M
  • Match 334%£6.6M
  • 2 other tiers12%£2.4M
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1M10MPrize each
  1. Match 61≈ 0.49 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

59times
4452times

Every number was expected about that many times after 566 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 6 numbers (8, 17, 29) with the draw of 10 August 2019 — its closest relative in 566 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (10 March 2021): nothing carried over. Chance says 49% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

115

The numbers add up to 115 — the 5th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 180. No two numbers side by side. 43% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

11 had not appeared for 21 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 2.1× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 54% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
£4,334,826
  • Match 5 plus Bonus Ball6≈ 3.0 by chance£1,000,000
  • Match 5286≈ 154 by chance£1,750
  • Match 413,513≈ 10k by chance£140
  • Match 3218,783≈ 232k by chance£30.00
  • Match 20≈ 2.2M by chance£2.00
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈22M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 2 — 0 winners, 100% fewer than the 2.2M an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were noticeably less popular than average — a draw full of birthdays makes more small winners, a draw of high numbers fewer. That is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 20£2.00
    Match 3218,783£30.00
    Match 413,513£140
    Match 5286£1,750
    Match 5 plus Bonus Ball6£1,000,000
    Match 61£4,334,826