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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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UK Lotto · draw

Saturday, 27 February 2021

ResultUK Lotto

Single source
  1. 4
  2. 33
  3. 36
  4. 39
  5. 45
  6. 49
  7. 20

Jackpot£3,800,000

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/59 + 1/59 · since Oct 2015draw 563 of 1,189 under them

← 2021-02-24All recent draws2021-03-03 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed4 33 36 39 45 49 + 2029 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 27 February 2021 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

45oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 45 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 32% of every possible ticket.

  • sum74th
  • odd77th
  • low5th
  • widest gap93th
  • neighbours29th
  • spread54th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 57 of each

457times
3347times
3664times
3961times
45

Prize breakdown · 2021-02-27

  • Lines in play≈ 12Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out£6.2Mto 121k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 98lines took a prize
  • Match 60 winnerschance said 0.26

Where the money went

  • Match 5 plus Bonus Ball32%£2M
  • Match 411%£678.4K
  • Match 356%£3.5M
  • 1 other tier1.5%£96.3K
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1M10MPrize each
  1. Match 60≈ 0.26 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

65times
4959times

Every number was expected about that many times after 562 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 6 numbers (4, 39, 45, 49) with the draw of 4 April 2020 — its closest relative in 562 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 23% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (24 February 2021): nothing carried over. Chance says 49% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

206

The numbers add up to 206 — the 73th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 180. No two numbers side by side. 43% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

45 had not appeared for 9 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.4× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 88% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
£3,800,000
  • Match 5 plus Bonus Ball2≈ 1.6 by chance£1,000,000
  • Match 555≈ 82 by chance£1,750
  • Match 44,846≈ 5.4k by chance£140
  • Match 3115,701≈ 123k by chance£30.00
  • Match 20≈ 1.1M by chance£2.00
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈12M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 2 — 0 winners, 100% fewer than the 1.1M an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were noticeably less popular than average — a draw full of birthdays makes more small winners, a draw of high numbers fewer. That is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 20£2.00
    Match 3115,701£30.00
    Match 44,846£140
    Match 555£1,750
    Match 5 plus Bonus Ball2£1,000,000
    Match 60£3,800,000