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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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UK Lotto · draw

Wednesday, 17 February 2021

ResultUK Lotto

Single source
  1. 5
  2. 6
  3. 8
  4. 20
  5. 26
  6. 39
  7. 1

Jackpot£8,990,812

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/59 + 1/59 · since Oct 2015draw 560 of 1,189 under them

← 2021-02-13All recent draws2021-02-20 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed5 6 8 20 26 39 + 129 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 17 February 2021 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

30oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 30 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 8% of every possible ticket.

  • sum3th
  • odd20th
  • low94th
  • widest gap17th
  • neighbours75th
  • spread17th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 57 of each

552times
646times
870times
2058times
26

Prize breakdown · 2021-02-17

  • Lines in play≈ 12Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out£6.4Mto 121k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 97lines took a prize
  • Match 60 winnerschance said 0.26

Where the money went

  • Match 5 plus Bonus Ball31%£2M
  • Match 413%£822.5K
  • Match 354%£3.5M
  • 1 other tier2.6%£166.3K
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1M10MPrize each
  1. Match 60≈ 0.26 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

58times
3960times

Every number was expected about that many times after 559 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 6 numbers (5, 8, 26, 39) with the draw of 30 May 2018 — its closest relative in 559 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 23% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (13 February 2021): nothing carried over. Chance says 49% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

104

The numbers add up to 104 — the 3th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 180. Side-by-side numbers: 5–6. 43% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

20 had not appeared for 16 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 2.2× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 52% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
£8,990,812
  • Match 5 plus Bonus Ball2≈ 1.6 by chance£1,000,000
  • Match 595≈ 81 by chance£1,750
  • Match 45,875≈ 5.4k by chance£140
  • Match 3115,133≈ 122k by chance£30.00
  • Match 20≈ 1.1M by chance£2.00
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈12M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 2 — 0 winners, 100% fewer than the 1.1M an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were noticeably less popular than average — a draw full of birthdays makes more small winners, a draw of high numbers fewer. That is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 20£2.00
    Match 3115,133£30.00
    Match 45,875£140
    Match 595£1,750
    Match 5 plus Bonus Ball2£1,000,000
    Match 60£8,990,812