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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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UK Lotto · draw

Wednesday, 10 February 2021

ResultUK Lotto

Single source
  1. 1
  2. 15
  3. 29
  4. 33
  5. 42
  6. 49
  7. 54

Jackpot£5,167,620

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/59 + 1/59 · since Oct 2015draw 558 of 1,189 under them

← 2021-02-06All recent draws2021-02-13 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed1 15 29 33 42 49 + 5429 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 10 February 2021 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

59oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 59 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 68% of every possible ticket.

  • sum39th
  • odd94th
  • low48th
  • widest gap23th
  • neighbours29th
  • spread67th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 57 of each

152times
1545times
2957times
3346times
42

Prize breakdown · 2021-02-10

  • Lines in play≈ 7.8Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out£3.9Mto 80k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 97lines took a prize
  • Match 60 winnerschance said 0.17

Where the money went

  • Match 5 plus Bonus Ball26%£1M
  • Match 413%£488.3K
  • Match 359%£2.3M
  • 1 other tier2.2%£85.8K
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10k100k1M10MPrize each
  1. Match 60≈ 0.17 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

65times
4958times

Every number was expected about that many times after 557 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 6 numbers (29, 33, 49) with the draw of 16 September 2020 — its closest relative in 557 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (6 February 2021): nothing carried over. Chance says 49% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

169

The numbers add up to 169 — the 39th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 180. No two numbers side by side. 43% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

29 had not appeared for 32 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.8× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 78% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
£5,167,620
  • Match 5 plus Bonus Ball1≈ 1.0 by chance£1,000,000
  • Match 549≈ 54 by chance£1,750
  • Match 43,488≈ 3.6k by chance£140
  • Match 376,056≈ 81k by chance£30.00
  • Match 20≈ 756k by chance£2.00
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈7.8M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 2 — 0 winners, 100% fewer than the 756k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were noticeably less popular than average — a draw full of birthdays makes more small winners, a draw of high numbers fewer. That is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 20£2.00
    Match 376,056£30.00
    Match 43,488£140
    Match 549£1,750
    Match 5 plus Bonus Ball1£1,000,000
    Match 60£5,167,620