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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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UK Lotto · draw

Wednesday, 3 February 2021

ResultUK Lotto

Single source
  1. 4
  2. 9
  3. 17
  4. 21
  5. 26
  6. 46
  7. 12

Jackpot£13,420,584

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/59 + 1/59 · since Oct 2015draw 556 of 1,189 under them

← 2021-01-30All recent draws2021-02-06 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed4 9 17 21 26 46 + 1229 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 3 February 2021 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

57oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 57 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 62% of every possible ticket.

  • sum8th
  • odd48th
  • low94th
  • widest gap62th
  • neighbours29th
  • spread42th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 56 of each

456times
949times
1751times
2147times
26

Prize breakdown · 2021-02-03

  • Lines in play≈ 15Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out£17.3Mto 154k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 97lines took a prize
  • Match 60 winnerschance said 0.33

Where the money went

  • Match 5 plus Bonus Ball24%£4.2M
  • Match 49.5%£1.6M
  • Match 362%£10.8M
  • 1 other tier3.7%£642.6K
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1M10M100MPrize each
  1. Match 60≈ 0.33 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

57times
4660times

Every number was expected about that many times after 555 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 6 numbers (4, 9, 26) with the draw of 11 September 2019 — its closest relative in 555 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (30 January 2021): 4 carried over. Chance says 49% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

123

The numbers add up to 123 — the 8th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 180. No two numbers side by side. 43% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

26 had not appeared for 11 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.9× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 56% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
£13,420,584
  • Match 5 plus Bonus Ball4≈ 2.0 by chance£1,057,035
  • Match 5150≈ 103 by chance£4,284
  • Match 47,918≈ 6.8k by chance£207
  • Match 3145,527≈ 154k by chance£74.00
  • Match 20≈ 1.4M by chance£2.00
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈15M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 2 — 0 winners, 100% fewer than the 1.4M an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were noticeably less popular than average — a draw full of birthdays makes more small winners, a draw of high numbers fewer. That is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 20£2.00
    Match 3145,527£74.00
    Match 47,918£207
    Match 5150£4,284
    Match 5 plus Bonus Ball4£1,057,035
    Match 60£13,420,584