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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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UK Lotto · draw

Wednesday, 30 December 2020

ResultUK Lotto

Single source
  1. 11
  2. 17
  3. 21
  4. 24
  5. 37
  6. 49
  7. 45

Jackpot£5,250,464

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/59 + 1/59 · since Oct 2015draw 546 of 1,187 under them

← 2020-12-26All recent draws2021-01-02 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed11 17 21 24 37 49 + 4529 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 30 December 2020 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

44oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 44 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 30% of every possible ticket.

  • sum30th
  • odd94th
  • low77th
  • widest gap17th
  • neighbours29th
  • spread28th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 55 of each

1163times
1750times
2145times
2443times
37

Prize breakdown · 2020-12-30

  • Lines in play≈ 9.8Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out£4.6Mto 101k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 97lines took a prize
  • Match 60 winnerschance said 0.22

Where the money went

  • Match 5 plus Bonus Ball22%£1.0M
  • Match 413%£622.3K
  • Match 362%£2.9M
  • 1 other tier2.7%£127.8K
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10k100k1M10MPrize each
  1. Match 60≈ 0.22 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

60times
4956times

Every number was expected about that many times after 545 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 6 numbers (11, 21, 37, 49) with the draw of 18 February 2017 — its closest relative in 545 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 22% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (26 December 2020): nothing carried over. Chance says 49% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

159

The numbers add up to 159 — the 30th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 180. No two numbers side by side. 43% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

17 had not appeared for 28 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.1× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 70% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
£5,250,464
  • Match 5 plus Bonus Ball1≈ 1.3 by chance£1,000,000
  • Match 573≈ 68 by chance£1,750
  • Match 44,445≈ 4.5k by chance£140
  • Match 396,559≈ 102k by chance£30.00
  • Match 20≈ 960k by chance£2.00
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈9.8M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 2 — 0 winners, 100% fewer than the 960k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were noticeably less popular than average — a draw full of birthdays makes more small winners, a draw of high numbers fewer. That is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 20£2.00
    Match 396,559£30.00
    Match 44,445£140
    Match 573£1,750
    Match 5 plus Bonus Ball1£1,000,000
    Match 60£5,250,464