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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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UK Lotto · draw

Saturday, 19 December 2020

ResultUK Lotto

Single source
  1. 4
  2. 10
  3. 14
  4. 21
  5. 27
  6. 28
  7. 23

Jackpot£4,091,879

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/59 + 1/59 · since Oct 2015draw 543 of 1,187 under them

← 2020-12-16All recent draws2020-12-23 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed4 10 14 21 27 28 + 2329 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 19 December 2020 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

18oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 18 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 1% of every possible ticket.

  • sum3th
  • odd20th
  • low99th
  • widest gap1th
  • neighbours75th
  • spread3th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 55 of each

454times
1056times
1457times
2144times
27

Prize breakdown · 2020-12-19

  • Lines in play≈ 20Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out£17.1Mto 207k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 96lines took a prize
  • Match 60 winnerschance said 0.44

Where the money went

  • Match 5 plus Bonus Ball53%£9.0M
  • Match 410%£1.7M
  • Match 334%£5.8M
  • 1 other tier3.2%£551.3K
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1M10MPrize each
  1. Match 60≈ 0.44 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

60times
2849times

Every number was expected about that many times after 542 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 6 numbers (10, 14, 28) with the draw of 9 December 2020 — its closest relative in 542 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (16 December 2020): 28 carried over. Chance says 49% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

104

The numbers add up to 104 — the 3th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 180. Side-by-side numbers: 27–28. 43% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

4 had not appeared for 22 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 3.7× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 37% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
£4,091,879
  • Match 5 plus Bonus Ball9≈ 2.6 by chance£1,000,000
  • Match 5315≈ 137 by chance£1,750
  • Match 412,342≈ 9.1k by chance£140
  • Match 3194,683≈ 206k by chance£30.00
  • Match 20≈ 1.9M by chance£2.00
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈20M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 2 — 0 winners, 100% fewer than the 1.9M an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were noticeably less popular than average — a draw full of birthdays makes more small winners, a draw of high numbers fewer. That is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 20£2.00
    Match 3194,683£30.00
    Match 412,342£140
    Match 5315£1,750
    Match 5 plus Bonus Ball9£1,000,000
    Match 60£4,091,879