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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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UK Lotto · draw

Saturday, 16 May 2020

ResultUK Lotto

Single source
  1. 4
  2. 20
  3. 21
  4. 44
  5. 48
  6. 52
  7. 34

Jackpot£10,848,734

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/59 + 1/59 · since Oct 2015draw 481 of 1,189 under them

← 2020-05-13All recent draws2020-05-20 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed4 20 21 44 48 52 + 3429 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 16 May 2020 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

59oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 59 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 66% of every possible ticket.

  • sum59th
  • odd5th
  • low48th
  • widest gap76th
  • neighbours75th
  • spread67th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 49 of each

449times
2052times
2138times
4445times
48

Prize breakdown · 2020-05-16

  • Lines in play≈ 11Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out£15.9Mto 117k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 98lines took a prize
  • Match 61 winnerchance said 0.25

Where the money went

  • Match 668%£10.8M
  • Match 5 plus Bonus Ball6.3%£1M
  • Match 321%£3.4M
  • 2 other tiers4.4%£707.1K
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1M10M100MPrize each
  1. Match 61≈ 0.25 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

36times
5261times

Every number was expected about that many times after 480 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 6 numbers (4, 20, 48) with the draw of 14 November 2018 — its closest relative in 480 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 99% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (13 May 2020): nothing carried over. Chance says 49% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

189

The numbers add up to 189 — the 58th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 180. Side-by-side numbers: 20–21. 43% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

4 had not appeared for 11 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.8× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 77% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
£10,848,734
  • Match 5 plus Bonus Ball1≈ 1.5 by chance£1,000,000
  • Match 551≈ 80 by chance£1,750
  • Match 44,413≈ 5.3k by chance£140
  • Match 3112,695≈ 119k by chance£30.00
  • Match 20≈ 1.1M by chance£2.00
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈11M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 2 — 0 winners, 100% fewer than the 1.1M an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were noticeably less popular than average — a draw full of birthdays makes more small winners, a draw of high numbers fewer. That is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 20£2.00
    Match 3112,695£30.00
    Match 44,413£140
    Match 551£1,750
    Match 5 plus Bonus Ball1£1,000,000
    Match 61£10,848,734