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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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UK Lotto · draw

Wednesday, 15 April 2020

ResultUK Lotto

Single source
  1. 25
  2. 37
  3. 38
  4. 43
  5. 54
  6. 57
  7. 17

Jackpot£5,034,166

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/59 + 1/59 · since Oct 2015draw 472 of 1,189 under them

← 2020-04-11All recent draws2020-04-18 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed25 37 38 43 54 57 + 1729 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 15 April 2020 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

27oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 27 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 6% of every possible ticket.

  • sum97th
  • odd77th
  • low5th
  • widest gap13th
  • neighbours75th
  • spread13th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 48 of each

2550times
3748times
3849times
4347times
54

Prize breakdown · 2020-04-15

  • Lines in play≈ 4.6Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out£2.7Mto 47k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 98lines took a prize
  • Match 60 winnerschance said 0.10

Where the money went

  • Match 5 plus Bonus Ball38%£1M
  • Match 410%£256.9K
  • Match 351%£1.4M
  • 1 other tier1.9%£50.8K
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10k100k1M10MPrize each
  1. Match 60≈ 0.10 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

62times
5740times

Every number was expected about that many times after 471 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 6 numbers (37, 38, 54, 57) with the draw of 20 January 2016 — its closest relative in 471 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 20% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (11 April 2020): nothing carried over. Chance says 49% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

254

The numbers add up to 254 — the 97th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 180. Side-by-side numbers: 37–38. 43% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

37 had not appeared for 56 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.4× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 89% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
£5,034,166
  • Match 5 plus Bonus Ball1≈ 0.61 by chance£1,000,000
  • Match 529≈ 32 by chance£1,750
  • Match 41,835≈ 2.1k by chance£140
  • Match 345,209≈ 48k by chance£30.00
  • Match 20≈ 449k by chance£2.00
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈4.6M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 2 — 0 winners, 100% fewer than the 449k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were noticeably less popular than average — a draw full of birthdays makes more small winners, a draw of high numbers fewer. That is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 20£2.00
    Match 345,209£30.00
    Match 41,835£140
    Match 529£1,750
    Match 5 plus Bonus Ball1£1,000,000
    Match 60£5,034,166