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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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UK Lotto · draw

Saturday, 12 October 2019

ResultUK Lotto

Single source
  1. 23
  2. 27
  3. 30
  4. 36
  5. 40
  6. 42
  7. 58

Jackpot£11,204,025

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/59 + 1/59 · since Oct 2015draw 419 of 1,189 under them

← 2019-10-09All recent draws2019-10-16 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed23 27 30 36 40 42 + 5829 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 12 October 2019 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

44oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 44 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 29% of every possible ticket.

  • sum67th
  • odd20th
  • low48th
  • widest gap1th
  • neighbours29th
  • spread1th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 43 of each

2339times
2739times
3041times
3646times
40

Prize breakdown · 2019-10-12

  • Lines in play≈ 13Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out£4.7Mto 133k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 98lines took a prize
  • Match 60 winnerschance said 0.29

Where the money went

  • Match 53.0%£140K
  • Match 416%£746.8K
  • Match 381%£3.8M
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1M10M100MPrize each
  1. Match 60≈ 0.29 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

49times
4249times

Every number was expected about that many times after 418 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 6 numbers (27, 30, 42) with the draw of 24 November 2018 — its closest relative in 418 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 99% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (9 October 2019): 40 carried over. Chance says 49% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

198

The numbers add up to 198 — the 67th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 180. No two numbers side by side. 43% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

36 had not appeared for 14 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.8× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 78% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
£11,204,025
  • Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0≈ 1.7 by chanceno winners
  • Match 580≈ 90 by chance£1,750
  • Match 45,334≈ 6.0k by chance£140
  • Match 3128,030≈ 136k by chance£30.00
  • Match 20≈ 1.3M by chance£2.00
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈13M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 2 — 0 winners, 100% fewer than the 1.3M an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were noticeably less popular than average — a draw full of birthdays makes more small winners, a draw of high numbers fewer. That is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 20£2.00
    Match 3128,030£30.00
    Match 45,334£140
    Match 580£1,750
    Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0£0.00
    Match 60£11,204,025