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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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UK Lotto · draw

Wednesday, 21 August 2019

ResultUK Lotto

Single source
  1. 11
  2. 14
  3. 26
  4. 51
  5. 53
  6. 58
  7. 30

Jackpot£5,096,106

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/59 + 1/59 · since Oct 2015draw 404 of 1,189 under them

← 2019-08-17All recent draws2019-08-24 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed11 14 26 51 53 58 + 3029 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 21 August 2019 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

67oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 67 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 84% of every possible ticket.

  • sum79th
  • odd48th
  • low48th
  • widest gap84th
  • neighbours29th
  • spread63th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 41 of each

1148times
1442times
2643times
5139times
53

Prize breakdown · 2019-08-21

  • Lines in play≈ 4.9Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out£1.8Mto 50k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 98lines took a prize
  • Match 60 winnerschance said 0.11

Where the money went

  • Match 53.0%£52.5K
  • Match 415%£265.6K
  • Match 382%£1.4M
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10k100k1M10MPrize each
  1. Match 60≈ 0.11 by chance£5,096,106
  2. Match 5 plus Bonus Ball

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

38times
5852times

Every number was expected about that many times after 403 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 6 numbers (14, 26, 51) with the draw of 30 July 2016 — its closest relative in 403 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 99% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (17 August 2019): 58 carried over. Chance says 49% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

213

The numbers add up to 213 — the 79th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 180. No two numbers side by side. 43% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

51 had not appeared for 34 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.8× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 78% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
0≈ 0.65 by chance
no winners
  • Match 530≈ 34 by chance£1,750
  • Match 41,897≈ 2.2k by chance£140
  • Match 347,908≈ 51k by chance£30.00
  • Match 20≈ 476k by chance£2.00
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈4.9M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 2 — 0 winners, 100% fewer than the 476k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were noticeably less popular than average — a draw full of birthdays makes more small winners, a draw of high numbers fewer. That is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 20£2.00
    Match 347,908£30.00
    Match 41,897£140
    Match 530£1,750
    Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0£0.00
    Match 60£5,096,106