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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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UK Lotto · draw

Wednesday, 10 July 2019

ResultUK Lotto

Single source
  1. 4
  2. 10
  3. 11
  4. 17
  5. 53
  6. 54
  7. 6

Jackpot£8,512,227

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/59 + 1/59 · since Oct 2015draw 392 of 1,189 under them

← 2019-07-06All recent draws2019-07-13 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed4 10 11 17 53 54 + 629 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 10 July 2019 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

41oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 41 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 24% of every possible ticket.

  • sum22th
  • odd48th
  • low77th
  • widest gap99th
  • neighbours96th
  • spread75th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 40 of each

439times
1039times
1146times
1739times
53

Prize breakdown · 2019-07-10

  • Lines in play≈ 7.6Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out£2.7Mto 77k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 98lines took a prize
  • Match 60 winnerschance said 0.17

Where the money went

  • Match 52.5%£68.3K
  • Match 414%£379.1K
  • Match 383%£2.2M
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10k100k1M10MPrize each
  1. Match 60≈ 0.17 by chance£8,512,227
  2. Match 5 plus Bonus Ball

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

36times
5454times

Every number was expected about that many times after 391 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 6 numbers (11, 17, 54) with the draw of 20 April 2019 — its closest relative in 391 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 99% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (6 July 2019): nothing carried over. Chance says 49% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

149

The numbers add up to 149 — the 22th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 180. Side-by-side numbers: 10–11, 53–54. 43% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

4 had not appeared for 25 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.4× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 65% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
0≈ 1.0 by chance
no winners
  • Match 539≈ 53 by chance£1,750
  • Match 42,708≈ 3.5k by chance£140
  • Match 374,602≈ 79k by chance£30.00
  • Match 20≈ 741k by chance£2.00
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈7.6M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 2 — 0 winners, 100% fewer than the 741k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were noticeably less popular than average — a draw full of birthdays makes more small winners, a draw of high numbers fewer. That is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 20£2.00
    Match 374,602£30.00
    Match 42,708£140
    Match 539£1,750
    Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0£0.00
    Match 60£8,512,227