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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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UK Lotto · draw

Saturday, 4 May 2019

ResultUK Lotto

Single source
  1. 16
  2. 17
  3. 35
  4. 39
  5. 40
  6. 55
  7. 41

Jackpot£4,383,861

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/59 + 1/59 · since Oct 2015draw 373 of 1,189 under them

← 2019-05-01All recent draws2019-05-08 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed16 17 35 39 40 55 + 4129 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 4 May 2019 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

52oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 52 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 49% of every possible ticket.

  • sum71th
  • odd77th
  • low20th
  • widest gap49th
  • neighbours96th
  • spread31th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 38 of each

1634times
1737times
3542times
3936times
40

Prize breakdown · 2019-05-04

  • Lines in play≈ 10.0Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out£11.4Mto 102k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 98lines took a prize
  • Match 60 winnerschance said 0.22

Where the money went

  • Match 5 plus Bonus Ball8.7%£1M
  • Match 44.7%£537.2K
  • Match 386%£9.8M
  • 1 other tier0.9%£106.8K
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10k100k1M10MPrize each
  1. Match 60≈ 0.22 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

42times
5542times

Every number was expected about that many times after 372 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 6 numbers (35, 40, 55) with the draw of 24 February 2018 — its closest relative in 372 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 98% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (1 May 2019): 35 carried over. Chance says 49% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

202

The numbers add up to 202 — the 70th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 180. Side-by-side numbers: 16–17, 39–40. 43% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

16 had not appeared for 18 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.5× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 84% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
£4,383,861
  • Match 5 plus Bonus Ball1≈ 1.3 by chance£1,000,000
  • Match 561≈ 69 by chance£1,750
  • Match 43,837≈ 4.6k by chance£140
  • Match 397,939≈ 104k by chance£100
  • Match 20≈ 973k by chance£2.00
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈10.0M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 2 — 0 winners, 100% fewer than the 973k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were noticeably less popular than average — a draw full of birthdays makes more small winners, a draw of high numbers fewer. That is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 20£2.00
    Match 397,939£100
    Match 43,837£140
    Match 561£1,750
    Match 5 plus Bonus Ball1£1,000,000
    Match 60£4,383,861