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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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UK Lotto · draw

Wednesday, 10 October 2018

ResultUK Lotto

Single source
  1. 10
  2. 49
  3. 50
  4. 53
  5. 54
  6. 56
  7. 4

Jackpot£5,382,585

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/59 + 1/59 · since Oct 2015draw 314 of 1,189 under them

← 2018-10-06All recent draws2018-10-13 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed10 49 50 53 54 56 + 429 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 10 October 2018 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

24oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 24 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 4% of every possible ticket.

  • sum99th
  • odd20th
  • low5th
  • widest gap99th
  • neighbours96th
  • spread58th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 32 of each

1034times
4932times
5025times
5325times
54

Prize breakdown · 2018-10-10

  • Lines in play≈ 4.1Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out£1.4Mto 42k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 98lines took a prize
  • Match 60 winnerschance said 0.09

Where the money went

  • Match 53.5%£47.1K
  • Match 422%£303.6K
  • Match 374%£1M
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10k100k1M10MPrize each
  1. Match 60≈ 0.09 by chance£5,382,585
  2. Match 5 plus Bonus Ball

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

44times
5633times

Every number was expected about that many times after 313 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 6 numbers (49, 54, 56) with the draw of 11 October 2017 — its closest relative in 313 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 97% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (6 October 2018): nothing carried over. Chance says 49% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

272

The numbers add up to 272 — the 99th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 180. Side-by-side numbers: 49–50, 53–54. 43% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

49 had not appeared for 24 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.4× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 87% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
0≈ 0.55 by chance
no winners
  • Match 520≈ 29 by chance£2,356
  • Match 41,715≈ 1.9k by chance£177
  • Match 340,475≈ 43k by chance£25.00
  • Match 20≈ 402k by chance£2.00
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈4.1M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 2 — 0 winners, 100% fewer than the 402k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were noticeably less popular than average — a draw full of birthdays makes more small winners, a draw of high numbers fewer. That is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 20£2.00
    Match 340,475£25.00
    Match 41,715£177
    Match 520£2,356
    Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0£0.00
    Match 60£5,382,585