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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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UK Lotto · draw

Wednesday, 15 August 2018

ResultUK Lotto

Single source
  1. 3
  2. 28
  3. 34
  4. 41
  5. 48
  6. 58
  7. 54

Jackpot£1,960,095

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/59 + 1/59 · since Oct 2015draw 298 of 1,189 under them

← 2018-08-11All recent draws2018-08-18 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed3 28 34 41 48 58 + 5429 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 15 August 2018 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

38oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 38 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 18% of every possible ticket.

  • sum78th
  • odd20th
  • low20th
  • widest gap84th
  • neighbours29th
  • spread94th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 30 of each

328times
2823times
3433times
4138times
48

Prize breakdown · 2018-08-15

  • Lines in play≈ 5.5Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out£1.7Mto 56k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 98lines took a prize
  • Match 60 winnerschance said 0.12

Where the money went

  • Match 52.7%£46.1K
  • Match 418%£295.3K
  • Match 380%£1.3M
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10k100k1M10MPrize each
  1. Match 60≈ 0.12 by chance£1,960,095
  2. Match 5 plus Bonus Ball

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

21times
5840times

Every number was expected about that many times after 297 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 6 numbers (3, 34, 48) with the draw of 19 May 2018 — its closest relative in 297 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 96% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (11 August 2018): 3 carried over. Chance says 49% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

212

The numbers add up to 212 — the 78th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 180. No two numbers side by side. 43% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

28 had not appeared for 13 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.6× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 82% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
0≈ 0.73 by chance
no winners
  • Match 524≈ 38 by chance£1,919
  • Match 42,109≈ 2.5k by chance£140
  • Match 353,732≈ 57k by chance£25.00
  • Match 20≈ 534k by chance£2.00
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈5.5M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 2 — 0 winners, 100% fewer than the 534k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were noticeably less popular than average — a draw full of birthdays makes more small winners, a draw of high numbers fewer. That is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 20£2.00
    Match 353,732£25.00
    Match 42,109£140
    Match 524£1,919
    Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0£0.00
    Match 60£1,960,095