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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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UK Lotto · draw

Wednesday, 1 August 2018

ResultUK Lotto

Single source
  1. 15
  2. 17
  3. 18
  4. 34
  5. 46
  6. 54
  7. 4

Jackpot£6,457,803

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/59 + 1/59 · since Oct 2015draw 294 of 1,189 under them

← 2018-07-28All recent draws2018-08-04 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed15 17 18 34 46 54 + 429 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 1 August 2018 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

69oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 69 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 88% of every possible ticket.

  • sum54th
  • odd20th
  • low48th
  • widest gap36th
  • neighbours75th
  • spread31th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 30 of each

1528times
1726times
1827times
3430times
46

Prize breakdown · 2018-08-01

  • Lines in play≈ 5.6Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out£1.8Mto 57k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 98lines took a prize
  • Match 60 winnerschance said 0.12

Where the money went

  • Match 52.7%£47.1K
  • Match 417%£303.8K
  • Match 378%£1.4M
  • 1 other tier2.5%£44.8K
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10k100k1M10MPrize each
  1. Match 60≈ 0.12 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

34times
5440times

Every number was expected about that many times after 293 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 6 numbers (17, 18, 54) with the draw of 7 July 2018 — its closest relative in 293 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 96% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (28 July 2018): nothing carried over. Chance says 49% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

184

The numbers add up to 184 — the 53th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 180. Side-by-side numbers: 17–18. 43% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

15 had not appeared for 11 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.7× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 79% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
£6,457,803
  • Match 5 plus Bonus Ball1≈ 0.75 by chance£44,768
  • Match 531≈ 39 by chance£1,520
  • Match 42,081≈ 2.6k by chance£146
  • Match 354,955≈ 58k by chance£25.00
  • Match 20≈ 546k by chance£2.00
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈5.6M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 2 — 0 winners, 100% fewer than the 546k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were noticeably less popular than average — a draw full of birthdays makes more small winners, a draw of high numbers fewer. That is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 20£2.00
    Match 354,955£25.00
    Match 42,081£146
    Match 531£1,520
    Match 5 plus Bonus Ball1£44,768
    Match 60£6,457,803