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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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UK Lotto · draw

Saturday, 21 July 2018

ResultUK Lotto

Single source
  1. 9
  2. 13
  3. 16
  4. 25
  5. 40
  6. 46
  7. 52

Jackpot£7,748,131

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/59 + 1/59 · since Oct 2015draw 291 of 1,189 under them

← 2018-07-18All recent draws2018-07-25 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed9 13 16 25 40 46 + 5229 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 21 July 2018 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

59oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 59 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 66% of every possible ticket.

  • sum22th
  • odd48th
  • low77th
  • widest gap29th
  • neighbours29th
  • spread25th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 29 of each

921times
1325times
1629times
2528times
40

Prize breakdown · 2018-07-21

  • Lines in play≈ 14Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out£11.7Mto 139k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 97lines took a prize
  • Match 61 winnerchance said 0.30

Where the money went

  • Match 666%£7.7M
  • Match 44.2%£492.7K
  • Match 328%£3.3M
  • 2 other tiers1.3%£149.2K
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1M10MPrize each
  1. Match 61≈ 0.30 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

29times
4633times

Every number was expected about that many times after 290 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 6 numbers (9, 13, 46) with the draw of 2 December 2017 — its closest relative in 290 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 96% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (18 July 2018): nothing carried over. Chance says 49% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

149

The numbers add up to 149 — the 22th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 180. No two numbers side by side. 43% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

16 had not appeared for 34 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.0× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 74% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
£7,748,131
  • Match 5 plus Bonus Ball1≈ 1.8 by chance£72,716
  • Match 585≈ 94 by chance£900
  • Match 46,009≈ 6.2k by chance£82.00
  • Match 3132,766≈ 141k by chance£25.00
  • Match 20≈ 1.3M by chance£2.00
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈14M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 2 — 0 winners, 100% fewer than the 1.3M an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were noticeably less popular than average — a draw full of birthdays makes more small winners, a draw of high numbers fewer. That is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 20£2.00
    Match 3132,766£25.00
    Match 46,009£82.00
    Match 585£900
    Match 5 plus Bonus Ball1£72,716
    Match 61£7,748,131