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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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UK Lotto · draw

Wednesday, 11 July 2018

ResultUK Lotto

Single source
  1. 8
  2. 11
  3. 17
  4. 25
  5. 33
  6. 46
  7. 13

Jackpot£10,596,472

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/59 + 1/59 · since Oct 2015draw 288 of 1,189 under them

← 2018-07-07All recent draws2018-07-14 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed8 11 17 25 33 46 + 1329 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 11 July 2018 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

45oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 45 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 32% of every possible ticket.

  • sum16th
  • odd77th
  • low77th
  • widest gap17th
  • neighbours29th
  • spread28th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 29 of each

836times
1133times
1725times
2527times
33

Prize breakdown · 2018-07-11

  • Lines in play≈ 11Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out£13.6Mto 110k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 97lines took a prize
  • Match 61 winnerchance said 0.24

Where the money went

  • Match 678%£10.6M
  • Match 42.3%£313.5K
  • Match 319%£2.6M
  • 2 other tiers0.7%£95.6K
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1M10M100MPrize each
  1. Match 61≈ 0.24 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

18times
4632times

Every number was expected about that many times after 287 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 6 numbers (8, 33, 46) with the draw of 14 February 2018 — its closest relative in 287 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 96% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (7 July 2018): 17 carried over. Chance says 49% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

140

The numbers add up to 140 — the 16th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 180. No two numbers side by side. 43% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

11 had not appeared for 21 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.4× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 66% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
£10,596,472
  • Match 5 plus Bonus Ball4≈ 1.4 by chance£11,648
  • Match 5119≈ 73 by chance£412
  • Match 45,598≈ 4.9k by chance£56.00
  • Match 3103,923≈ 110k by chance£25.00
  • Match 20≈ 1.0M by chance£2.00
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈11M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 2 — 0 winners, 100% fewer than the 1.0M an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were noticeably less popular than average — a draw full of birthdays makes more small winners, a draw of high numbers fewer. That is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 20£2.00
    Match 3103,923£25.00
    Match 45,598£56.00
    Match 5119£412
    Match 5 plus Bonus Ball4£11,648
    Match 61£10,596,472