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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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UK Lotto · draw

Wednesday, 4 October 2017

ResultUK Lotto

Single source
  1. 12
  2. 20
  3. 32
  4. 38
  5. 48
  6. 54
  7. 5

Jackpot£15,785,809

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/59 + 1/59 · since Oct 2015draw 208 of 1,185 under them

← 2017-09-30All recent draws2017-10-07 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed12 20 32 38 48 54 + 529 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 4 October 2017 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

44oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 44 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 29% of every possible ticket.

  • sum72th
  • odd1th
  • low20th
  • widest gap13th
  • neighbours29th
  • spread42th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 21 of each

1221times
2020times
3214times
3825times
48

Prize breakdown · 2017-10-04

  • Lines in play≈ 6.5Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out£2.0Mto 66k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 98lines took a prize
  • Match 60 winnerschance said 0.14

Where the money went

  • Match 52.6%£53.9K
  • Match 417%£346.5K
  • Match 378%£1.6M
  • 1 other tier2.5%£51.2K
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10k100k1M10M100MPrize each
  1. Match 60≈ 0.14 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

11times
5430times

Every number was expected about that many times after 207 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 2 of 6 numbers (12, 38) with the draw of 3 June 2017 — its closest relative in 207 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (30 September 2017): 54 carried over. Chance says 49% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

204

The numbers add up to 204 — the 72th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 180. No two numbers side by side. 43% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

48 had not appeared for 43 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.6× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 83% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
£15,785,809
  • Match 5 plus Bonus Ball1≈ 0.86 by chance£51,178
  • Match 535≈ 45 by chance£1,539
  • Match 42,586≈ 3.0k by chance£134
  • Match 363,689≈ 68k by chance£25.00
  • Match 20≈ 633k by chance£2.00
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈6.5M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 2 — 0 winners, 100% fewer than the 633k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were noticeably less popular than average — a draw full of birthdays makes more small winners, a draw of high numbers fewer. That is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 20£2.00
    Match 363,689£25.00
    Match 42,586£134
    Match 535£1,539
    Match 5 plus Bonus Ball1£51,178
    Match 60£15,785,809