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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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UK Lotto · draw

Saturday, 21 January 2017

ResultUK Lotto

Single source
  1. 4
  2. 13
  3. 37
  4. 40
  5. 52
  6. 58
  7. 51

Jackpot£3,495,493

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/59 + 1/59 · since Oct 2015draw 135 of 1,189 under them

← 2017-01-18All recent draws2017-01-25 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed4 13 37 40 52 58 + 5129 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 21 January 2017 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

42oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 42 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 26% of every possible ticket.

  • sum72th
  • odd20th
  • low20th
  • widest gap80th
  • neighbours29th
  • spread91th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 14 of each

412times
1313times
3718times
4017times
52

Prize breakdown · 2017-01-21

  • Lines in play≈ 8.8Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out£2.9Mto 89k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 98lines took a prize
  • Match 60 winnerschance said 0.19

Where the money went

  • Match 52.9%£84.0K
  • Match 419%£540.8K
  • Match 375%£2.1M
  • 1 other tier2.8%£79.8K
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10k100k1M10MPrize each
  1. Match 60≈ 0.19 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

16times
5816times

Every number was expected about that many times after 134 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 2 of 6 numbers (40, 52) with the draw of 28 December 2016 — its closest relative in 134 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (18 January 2017): nothing carried over. Chance says 49% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

204

The numbers add up to 204 — the 72th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 180. No two numbers side by side. 43% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

4 had not appeared for 17 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.4× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 87% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
£3,495,493
  • Match 5 plus Bonus Ball2≈ 1.2 by chance£39,912
  • Match 540≈ 61 by chance£2,100
  • Match 43,401≈ 4.0k by chance£159
  • Match 385,858≈ 91k by chance£25.00
  • Match 20≈ 853k by chance£2.00
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈8.8M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 2 — 0 winners, 100% fewer than the 853k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were noticeably less popular than average — a draw full of birthdays makes more small winners, a draw of high numbers fewer. That is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 20£2.00
    Match 385,858£25.00
    Match 43,401£159
    Match 540£2,100
    Match 5 plus Bonus Ball2£39,912
    Match 60£3,495,493