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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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UK Lotto · draw

Wednesday, 2 November 2016

ResultUK Lotto

Single source
  1. 5
  2. 14
  3. 19
  4. 24
  5. 31
  6. 38
  7. 29

Jackpot£10,816,275

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/59 + 1/59 · since Oct 2015draw 112 of 1,189 under them

← 2016-10-29All recent draws2016-11-05 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed5 14 19 24 31 38 + 2929 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 2 November 2016 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

43oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 43 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 28% of every possible ticket.

  • sum11th
  • odd48th
  • low77th
  • widest gap4th
  • neighbours29th
  • spread15th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 11 of each

58times
1418times
1911times
2410times
31

Prize breakdown · 2016-11-02

  • Lines in play≈ 11Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out£14.1Mto 118k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 97lines took a prize
  • Match 61 winnerchance said 0.25

Where the money went

  • Match 677%£10.8M
  • Match 42.5%£344.4K
  • Match 320%£2.8M
  • 2 other tiers0.7%£105.0K
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1M10M100MPrize each
  1. Match 61≈ 0.25 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

12times
3814times

Every number was expected about that many times after 111 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 6 numbers (14, 19, 38) with the draw of 15 June 2016 — its closest relative in 111 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 70% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (29 October 2016): 24 carried over. Chance says 49% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

131

The numbers add up to 131 — the 11th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 180. No two numbers side by side. 43% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

31 had not appeared for 23 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.6× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 62% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
£10,816,275
  • Match 5 plus Bonus Ball1≈ 1.5 by chance£51,177
  • Match 5126≈ 79 by chance£427
  • Match 45,938≈ 5.2k by chance£58.00
  • Match 3111,475≈ 118k by chance£25.00
  • Match 20≈ 1.1M by chance£2.00
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈11M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 2 — 0 winners, 100% fewer than the 1.1M an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were noticeably less popular than average — a draw full of birthdays makes more small winners, a draw of high numbers fewer. That is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 20£2.00
    Match 3111,475£25.00
    Match 45,938£58.00
    Match 5126£427
    Match 5 plus Bonus Ball1£51,177
    Match 61£10,816,275