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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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UK Lotto · draw

Wednesday, 21 September 2016

ResultUK Lotto

Single source
  1. 20
  2. 21
  3. 28
  4. 33
  5. 49
  6. 56
  7. 43

Jackpot£5,968,842

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/59 + 1/59 · since Oct 2015draw 100 of 1,189 under them

← 2016-09-17All recent draws2016-09-24 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed20 21 28 33 49 56 + 4329 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 21 September 2016 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

68oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 68 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 87% of every possible ticket.

  • sum75th
  • odd48th
  • low48th
  • widest gap36th
  • neighbours75th
  • spread22th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 10 of each

2010times
219times
289times
335times
49

Prize breakdown · 2016-09-21

  • Lines in play≈ 6.4Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out£2.0Mto 65k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 98lines took a prize
  • Match 60 winnerschance said 0.14

Where the money went

  • Match 52.6%£52.7K
  • Match 417%£339.2K
  • Match 378%£1.6M
  • 1 other tier2.5%£50.0K
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10k100k1M10MPrize each
  1. Match 60≈ 0.14 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

8times
568times

Every number was expected about that many times after 99 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 6 numbers (28, 33, 49) with the draw of 8 June 2016 — its closest relative in 99 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 66% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (17 September 2016): nothing carried over. Chance says 49% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

207

The numbers add up to 207 — the 74th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 180. Side-by-side numbers: 20–21. 43% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

33 had not appeared for 30 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.8× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 79% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
£5,968,842
  • Match 5 plus Bonus Ball1≈ 0.85 by chance£50,042
  • Match 530≈ 44 by chance£1,755
  • Match 42,389≈ 2.9k by chance£142
  • Match 362,435≈ 66k by chance£25.00
  • Match 20≈ 620k by chance£2.00
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈6.4M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 2 — 0 winners, 100% fewer than the 620k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were noticeably less popular than average — a draw full of birthdays makes more small winners, a draw of high numbers fewer. That is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 20£2.00
    Match 362,435£25.00
    Match 42,389£142
    Match 530£1,755
    Match 5 plus Bonus Ball1£50,042
    Match 60£5,968,842