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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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UK Lotto · draw

Wednesday, 4 May 2016

ResultUK Lotto

Single source
  1. 1
  2. 2
  3. 3
  4. 4
  5. 20
  6. 21
  7. 22

Jackpot£11,749,355

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/59 + 1/59 · since Oct 2015draw 60 of 1,189 under them

← 2016-04-30All recent draws2016-05-07 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed1 2 3 4 20 21 + 2229 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 4 May 2016 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

29oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 29 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 7% of every possible ticket.

  • sum0th
  • odd48th
  • low99th
  • widest gap36th
  • neighbours100th
  • spread1th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 6 of each

15times
211times
33times
44times
20

Prize breakdown · 2016-05-04

  • Lines in play≈ 14Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out£15.6Mto 145k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 95lines took a prize
  • Match 61 winnerchance said 0.31

Where the money went

  • Match 675%£11.7M
  • Match 42.3%£357.3K
  • Match 322%£3.4M
  • 2 other tiers0.7%£110.5K
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1M10M100MPrize each
  1. Match 61≈ 0.31 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

4times
217times

Every number was expected about that many times after 59 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 6 numbers (1, 2, 4) with the draw of 23 December 2015 — its closest relative in 59 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 48% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (30 April 2016): 1, 2 carried over. Chance says 49% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

51

The numbers add up to 51 — the 0th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 180. Side-by-side numbers: 1–2, 2–3, 3–4, 20–21. 43% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

3 had not appeared for 42 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 10.7× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 14% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
£11,749,355
  • Match 5 plus Bonus Ball14≈ 1.8 by chance£3,848
  • Match 5187≈ 95 by chance£303
  • Match 49,657≈ 6.3k by chance£37.00
  • Match 3134,881≈ 143k by chance£25.00
  • Match 20≈ 1.3M by chance£2.00
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈14M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 2 — 0 winners, 100% fewer than the 1.3M an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were noticeably less popular than average — a draw full of birthdays makes more small winners, a draw of high numbers fewer. That is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 20£2.00
    Match 3134,881£25.00
    Match 49,657£37.00
    Match 5187£303
    Match 5 plus Bonus Ball14£3,848
    Match 61£11,749,355