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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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UK Lotto · draw

Wednesday, 2 March 2016

ResultUK Lotto

Single source
  1. 4
  2. 15
  3. 21
  4. 26
  5. 39
  6. 58
  7. 20

Jackpot£8,534,850

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/59 + 1/59 · since Oct 2015draw 42 of 1,189 under them

← 2016-02-27All recent draws2016-03-05 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed4 15 21 26 39 58 + 2029 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 2 March 2016 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

62oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 62 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 75% of every possible ticket.

  • sum34th
  • odd48th
  • low77th
  • widest gap55th
  • neighbours29th
  • spread91th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 4 of each

43times
154times
213times
264times
39

Prize breakdown · 2016-03-02

  • Lines in play≈ 8.2Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out£2.5Mto 84k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 98lines took a prize
  • Match 60 winnerschance said 0.18

Where the money went

  • Match 52.3%£58.2K
  • Match 415%£375.5K
  • Match 380%£2.0M
  • 1 other tier2.2%£55.3K
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10k100k1M10MPrize each
  1. Match 60≈ 0.18 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

5times
584times

Every number was expected about that many times after 41 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 2 of 6 numbers (4, 26) with the draw of 24 February 2016 — its closest relative in 41 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 99% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (27 February 2016): nothing carried over. Chance says 49% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

163

The numbers add up to 163 — the 33th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 180. No two numbers side by side. 43% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

58 had not appeared for 10 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.1× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 70% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
£8,534,850
  • Match 5 plus Bonus Ball1≈ 1.1 by chance£55,323
  • Match 549≈ 57 by chance£1,188
  • Match 43,237≈ 3.8k by chance£116
  • Match 380,607≈ 85k by chance£25.00
  • Match 20≈ 801k by chance£2.00
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈8.2M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 2 — 0 winners, 100% fewer than the 801k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were noticeably less popular than average — a draw full of birthdays makes more small winners, a draw of high numbers fewer. That is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 20£2.00
    Match 380,607£25.00
    Match 43,237£116
    Match 549£1,188
    Match 5 plus Bonus Ball1£55,323
    Match 60£8,534,850