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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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UK Lotto · draw

Saturday, 23 January 2016

ResultUK Lotto

Single source
  1. 8
  2. 9
  3. 10
  4. 11
  5. 41
  6. 54
  7. 24

Jackpot£14,230,775

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/59 + 1/59 · since Oct 2015draw 31 of 1,185 under them

← 2016-01-20All recent draws2016-01-27 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed8 9 10 11 41 54 + 2429 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 23 January 2016 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

44oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 44 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 29% of every possible ticket.

  • sum12th
  • odd48th
  • low77th
  • widest gap94th
  • neighbours100th
  • spread58th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 3 of each

85times
92times
103times
114times
41

Prize breakdown · 2016-01-23

  • Lines in play≈ 18Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out£5.4Mto 186k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 98lines took a prize
  • Match 60 winnerschance said 0.40

Where the money went

  • Match 52.1%£113.2K
  • Match 413%£727.0K
  • Match 382%£4.5M
  • 1 other tier2.0%£107.6K
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1M10M100MPrize each
  1. Match 60≈ 0.40 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

4times
544times

Every number was expected about that many times after 30 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 6 numbers (8, 10, 11) with the draw of 21 November 2015 — its closest relative in 30 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 28% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (20 January 2016): 54 carried over. Chance says 49% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

133

The numbers add up to 133 — the 12th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 180. Side-by-side numbers: 8–9, 9–10, 10–11. 43% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

9 had not appeared for 15 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 4.2× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 34% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
£14,230,775
  • Match 5 plus Bonus Ball2≈ 2.4 by chance£53,790
  • Match 589≈ 126 by chance£1,272
  • Match 47,058≈ 8.3k by chance£103
  • Match 3178,511≈ 189k by chance£25.00
  • Match 20≈ 1.8M by chance£2.00
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈18M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 2 — 0 winners, 100% fewer than the 1.8M an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were noticeably less popular than average — a draw full of birthdays makes more small winners, a draw of high numbers fewer. That is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 20£2.00
    Match 3178,511£25.00
    Match 47,058£103
    Match 589£1,272
    Match 5 plus Bonus Ball2£53,790
    Match 60£14,230,775