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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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UK Lotto · draw

Saturday, 21 November 2015

ResultUK Lotto

Single source
  1. 2
  2. 8
  3. 10
  4. 11
  5. 32
  6. 47
  7. 18

Jackpot£6,915,695

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/59 + 1/59 · since Oct 2015draw 13 of 1,189 under them

← 2015-11-18All recent draws2015-11-25 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed2 8 10 11 32 47 + 1829 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 21 November 2015 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

50oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 50 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 44% of every possible ticket.

  • sum4th
  • odd20th
  • low77th
  • widest gap67th
  • neighbours75th
  • spread54th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 1 of each

24times
81time
100times
111time
32

Prize breakdown · 2015-11-21

  • Lines in play≈ 25Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out£7.0Mto 255k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 97lines took a prize
  • Match 60 winnerschance said 0.55

Where the money went

  • Match 51.6%£111.1K
  • Match 410%£714.2K
  • Match 387%£6.1M
  • 1 other tier1.5%£105.6K
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1M10MPrize each
  1. Match 60≈ 0.55 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

1time
471time

Every number was expected about that many times after 12 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 2 of 6 numbers (11, 47) with the draw of 4 November 2015 — its closest relative in 12 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 75% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (18 November 2015): nothing carried over. Chance says 49% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

110

The numbers add up to 110 — the 4th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 180. Side-by-side numbers: 10–11. 43% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

32 had not appeared for 12 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.7× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 59% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
£6,915,695
  • Match 5 plus Bonus Ball7≈ 3.3 by chance£15,084
  • Match 5202≈ 171 by chance£550
  • Match 412,314≈ 11k by chance£58.00
  • Match 3242,564≈ 257k by chance£25.00
  • Match 20≈ 2.4M by chance£2.00
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈25M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 2 — 0 winners, 100% fewer than the 2.4M an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were noticeably less popular than average — a draw full of birthdays makes more small winners, a draw of high numbers fewer. That is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 20£2.00
    Match 3242,564£25.00
    Match 412,314£58.00
    Match 5202£550
    Match 5 plus Bonus Ball7£15,084
    Match 60£6,915,695