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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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UK Lotto · draw

Wednesday, 11 November 2015

ResultUK Lotto

Single source
  1. 2
  2. 17
  3. 27
  4. 28
  5. 51
  6. 52
  7. 14

Jackpot£15,791,929

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/59 + 1/59 · since Oct 2015draw 10 of 1,189 under them

← 2015-11-07All recent draws2015-11-14 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed2 17 27 28 51 52 + 1429 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 11 November 2015 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

57oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 57 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 61% of every possible ticket.

  • sum47th
  • odd48th
  • low77th
  • widest gap76th
  • neighbours96th
  • spread75th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 1 of each

22times
170times
271time
280times
51

Prize breakdown · 2015-11-11

  • Lines in play≈ 9.5Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out£18.7Mto 96k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 98lines took a prize
  • Match 61 winnerchance said 0.21

Where the money went

  • Match 685%£15.8M
  • Match 42.5%£472.5K
  • Match 312%£2.3M
  • 1 other tier0.4%£73.6K
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10k100k1M10M100MPrize each
  1. Match 61≈ 0.21 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

1time
522times

Every number was expected about that many times after 9 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 2 of 6 numbers (27, 52) with the draw of 14 October 2015 — its closest relative in 9 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 64% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (7 November 2015): 2 carried over. Chance says 49% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

177

The numbers add up to 177 — the 47th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 180. Side-by-side numbers: 27–28, 51–52. 43% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

27 had not appeared for 8 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.1× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 70% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
£15,791,929
  • Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0≈ 1.3 by chanceno winners
  • Match 549≈ 65 by chance£1,503
  • Match 43,449≈ 4.3k by chance£137
  • Match 392,752≈ 98k by chance£25.00
  • Match 20≈ 922k by chance£2.00
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈9.5M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 2 — 0 winners, 100% fewer than the 922k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were noticeably less popular than average — a draw full of birthdays makes more small winners, a draw of high numbers fewer. That is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 20£2.00
    Match 392,752£25.00
    Match 43,449£137
    Match 549£1,503
    Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0£0.00
    Match 61£15,791,929