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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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UK Lotto · draw

Saturday, 10 October 2015

ResultUK Lotto

Single source
  1. 2
  2. 3
  3. 16
  4. 32
  5. 53
  6. 54
  7. 8

Jackpot£5,279,697

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/59 + 1/59 · since Oct 2015draw 1 of 1,189 under them

← 2015-10-07All recent draws2015-10-14 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed2 3 16 32 53 54 + 829 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 10 October 2015 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

51oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 51 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 46% of every possible ticket.

  • sum31th
  • odd20th
  • low48th
  • widest gap67th
  • neighbours96th
  • spread84th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 0 of each

20times
30times
160times
320times
53

Prize breakdown · 2015-10-10

  • Lines in play≈ 14Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out£4.5Mto 142k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 98lines took a prize
  • Match 60 winnerschance said 0.31

Where the money went

  • Match 52.8%£126.9K
  • Match 418%£814.5K
  • Match 376%£3.4M
  • 1 other tier2.7%£120.6K
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1M10MPrize each
  1. Match 60≈ 0.31 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

0times
540times

Every number was expected about that many times after 0 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

No earlier draws to compare against yet.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

160

The numbers add up to 160 — the 31th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 180. Side-by-side numbers: 2–3, 53–54. 43% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

Every number here is appearing for the first time.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.0× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 74% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
£5,279,697
  • Match 5 plus Bonus Ball1≈ 1.9 by chance£120,570
  • Match 561≈ 97 by chance£2,080
  • Match 45,059≈ 6.4k by chance£161
  • Match 3136,931≈ 145k by chance£25.00
  • Match 20≈ 1.4M by chance£2.00
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈14M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 2 — 0 winners, 100% fewer than the 1.4M an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were noticeably less popular than average — a draw full of birthdays makes more small winners, a draw of high numbers fewer. That is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 20£2.00
    Match 3136,931£25.00
    Match 45,059£161
    Match 561£2,080
    Match 5 plus Bonus Ball1£120,570
    Match 60£5,279,697