Tuesday, 25 June 2024

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 5 numbers (7, 25, 43, 49) with the draw of 16 November 2018 — its closest relative in 2,522 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 24% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (22 June 2024): nothing carried over. Chance says 42% of draws repeat at least one number.

Sum and shape

The numbers add up to 147 — the 72th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 128. No two numbers side by side. 35% of draws have at least one such pair.

The longest wait in this draw

49 had not appeared for 21 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.0× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 7% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.