Friday, 21 September 2018

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 5 numbers (9, 20, 26) with the draw of 24 September 2016 — its closest relative in 1,020 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 99% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (20 September 2018): nothing carried over. Chance says 42% of draws repeat at least one number.

Sum and shape

The numbers add up to 109 — the 28th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 128. No two numbers side by side. 35% of draws have at least one such pair.

The longest wait in this draw

20 had not appeared for 20 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.6× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 4% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.