Wednesday, 13 August 2014

Its nearest twin

Shares 2 of 5 numbers (22, 40) with the draw of 15 February 2014 — its closest relative in 131 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (9 August 2014): nothing carried over. Chance says 42% of draws repeat at least one number.

Sum and shape

The numbers add up to 169 — the 90th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 128. No two numbers side by side. 35% of draws have at least one such pair.

The longest wait in this draw

47 had not appeared for 31 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.6× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 13% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.