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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
Loto · draw
ResultLoto
Jackpot€5,000,000
The crowdHeld 63% less than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick
Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at
Rules5/49 + 1/10 · since Oct 2008draw 2,817 of 2,993 under them
SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 5 Oct 2026, 20:46 UTC.
This draw, read by every tool
What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 5 October 2026 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.
Scored 61 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 75% of every possible ticket.
Times drawn before — chance expected 287 of each
Every number was expected about that many times after 2,816 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.
Frequency Explorer →Shares 4 of 5 numbers (7, 8, 16, 42) and 1 of 1 stars with the draw of 21 March 2020 — its closest relative in 2,816 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 28% likelihood somewhere in that history.
From the draw just before (3 October 2026): 16 carried over. Chance says 43% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (10% expected).
Carry-over / Déjà Vu →The numbers add up to 112 — the 33th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 125. Side-by-side numbers: 7–8. 36% of draws have at least one such pair.
Sum Distribution →42 had not appeared for 27 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.
Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →A line like this is played about 1.1× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 6% of the jackpot.
Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.
The Unpopular Numbers Edge →Where the money went
The rings take the ≈8.2M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 4 — 244 winners, 71% fewer than the 847 an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were noticeably less popular than average — a draw full of birthdays makes more small winners, a draw of high numbers fewer. That is the crowd, not the machine.
| Match | Winners | Prize each |
|---|---|---|
| Match 5 plus Bonus Ball | 0 | €5,000,000 |
| Match 5 | 0 | €139,979 |
| Match 4 plus Bonus Ball | 44 | €3,958 |
| Match 4 | 244 | €505 |
| Match 3 plus Bonus Ball | 1,518 | €48.50 |
| Match 3 | 12,496 | €21.20 |
| Match 2 plus Bonus Ball | 23,153 | €8.90 |
| Match 2 | 186,848 | €4.30 |
| Match 1 plus Bonus Ball | 290,238 | €2.20 |