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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
Loto · draw
ResultLoto
Jackpot€8,000,000
The crowdHeld 41% less than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick
Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at
Rules5/49 + 1/10 · since Oct 2008draw 2,809 of 2,977 under them
SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 16 Sept 2026, 20:05 UTC.
This draw, read by every tool
What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 16 September 2026 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.
Scored 43 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 27% of every possible ticket.
Times drawn before — chance expected 287 of each
Every number was expected about that many times after 2,808 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.
Frequency Explorer →Shares 3 of 5 numbers (5, 13, 31) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 5 January 2026 — its closest relative in 2,808 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.
From the draw just before (14 September 2026): 13 carried over. Chance says 43% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (10% expected).
Carry-over / Déjà Vu →The numbers add up to 99 — the 20th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 125. No two numbers side by side. 36% of draws have at least one such pair.
Sum Distribution →31 had not appeared for 14 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.
Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →A line like this is played about 1.0× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 7% of the jackpot.
Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.
The Unpopular Numbers Edge →Where the money went
The rings take the ≈7.4M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 2 plus Bonus Ball — 24,000 winners, 53% fewer than the 52k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were noticeably less popular than average — a draw full of birthdays makes more small winners, a draw of high numbers fewer. That is the crowd, not the machine.
| Match | Winners | Prize each |
|---|---|---|
| Match 5 plus Bonus Ball | 0 | €8,000,000 |
| Match 5 | 7 | €27,076 |
| Match 4 plus Bonus Ball | 72 | €642 |
| Match 4 | 650 | €257 |
| Match 3 plus Bonus Ball | 2,152 | €46.30 |
| Match 3 | 23,791 | €15.00 |
| Match 2 plus Bonus Ball | 24,000 | €11.60 |
| Match 2 | 273,264 | €4.00 |
| Match 1 plus Bonus Ball | 263,946 | €2.20 |