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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Loto · draw

Monday, 22 July 2024

ResultLoto

VerifiedDraw #20244088
  1. 25
  2. 27
  3. 35
  4. 42
  5. 49
  6. 9

Jackpot€21,000,000

The crowdHeld 11% less than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/49 + 1/10 · since Oct 2008draw 2,472 of 3,001 under them

← 2024-07-20All recent draws2024-07-24 →

Where this result came from

Sources2 independent sources agree, 1 official. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Secondary 3official25 27 35 42 49 + 923 Aug 2026, 15:48 UTC
  • Primarycommercial feed25 27 35 42 49 + 929 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 22 July 2024 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

25oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 25 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 5% of every possible ticket.

  • sum96th
  • odd89th
  • low9th
  • widest gap5th
  • neighbours32th
  • spread15th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 252 of each

25237times
27254times
35261times
42238times
49

Prize breakdown · 2024-07-22

  • Lines in play≈ 3.6Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out€3.1Mto 638k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 6lines took a prize
  • rang10 winnerschance said 0.19

Where the money went

  • rang612%€364.9K
  • rang836%€1.1M
  • rang926%€820.7K
  • 5 other tiers26%€795.5K
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1M10M100MPrize each
  1. rang10≈ 0.19 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

253times
Stars · a separate 1-of-10 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 247 of each

9254times

Every number was expected about that many times after 2,471 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 5 numbers (25, 35, 42) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 4 March 2023 — its closest relative in 2,471 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (20 July 2024): nothing carried over. Chance says 43% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (10% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

178

The numbers add up to 178 — the 96th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 125. No two numbers side by side. 36% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

27 had not appeared for 22 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.5× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 12% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
€21,000,000
  • rang21≈ 1.7 by chance€192,965
  • rang353≈ 41 by chance€889
  • rang4319≈ 371 by chance€533
  • rang51,677≈ 1.8k by chance€60.50
  • rang614,536≈ 16k by chance€25.10
  • rang724,918≈ 25k by chance€11.40
  • rang8223,414≈ 223k by chance€5.00
  • rang9373,060€2.20
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈3.6M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: rang6 — 14,536 winners, 9% fewer than the 16k an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    rang10€21,000,000
    rang21€192,965
    rang353€889
    rang4319€533
    rang51,677€60.50
    rang614,536€25.10
    rang724,918€11.40
    rang8223,414€5.00
    rang9373,060€2.20