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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Loto · draw

Wednesday, 3 July 2024

ResultLoto

VerifiedDraw #20244080
  1. 1
  2. 4
  3. 21
  4. 24
  5. 42
  6. 3

Jackpot€3,000,000

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/49 + 1/10 · since Oct 2008draw 2,464 of 3,001 under them

← 2024-07-01All recent draws2024-07-06 →

Where this result came from

Sources2 independent sources agree, 1 official. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Secondary 3official1 4 21 24 42 + 323 Aug 2026, 15:48 UTC
  • Primarycommercial feed1 4 21 24 42 + 329 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 3 July 2024 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

49oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 49 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 42% of every possible ticket.

  • sum14th
  • odd32th
  • low89th
  • widest gap62th
  • neighbours32th
  • spread80th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 251 of each

1261times
4249times
21237times
24250times
42

Prize breakdown · 2024-07-03

  • Lines in play≈ 3.6Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out€2.6Mto 609k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 6lines took a prize
  • rang10 winnerschance said 0.19

Where the money went

  • rang612%€304.3K
  • rang835%€930.3K
  • rang928%€745.3K
  • 4 other tiers25%€664.1K
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1M10MPrize each
  1. rang10≈ 0.19 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

235times
Stars · a separate 1-of-10 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 246 of each

3237times

Every number was expected about that many times after 2,463 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 5 numbers (1, 4, 21) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 6 May 2024 — its closest relative in 2,463 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (1 July 2024): nothing carried over. Chance says 43% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (10% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

92

The numbers add up to 92 — the 14th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 125. No two numbers side by side. 36% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

4 had not appeared for 12 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.3× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 5% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
€3,000,000
  • rang20≈ 1.7 by chance€161,264
  • rang335≈ 42 by chance€5,732
  • rang4319≈ 377 by chance€445
  • rang51,703≈ 1.8k by chance€49.80
  • rang615,684≈ 16k by chance€19.40
  • rang726,016≈ 25k by chance€9.10
  • rang8226,906≈ 227k by chance€4.10
  • rang9338,771€2.20
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈3.6M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: rang5 — 1,703 winners, 5% fewer than the 1.8k an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    rang10€3,000,000
    rang20€161,264
    rang335€5,732
    rang4319€445
    rang51,703€49.80
    rang615,684€19.40
    rang726,016€9.10
    rang8226,906€4.10
    rang9338,771€2.20