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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Loto · draw

Wednesday, 24 April 2024

ResultLoto

VerifiedDraw #20244050
  1. 25
  2. 38
  3. 39
  4. 40
  5. 41
  6. 7

Jackpot€9,000,000

The crowdHeld 50% less than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/49 + 1/10 · since Oct 2008draw 2,434 of 3,001 under them

← 2024-04-22All recent draws2024-04-27 →

Where this result came from

Sources2 independent sources agree, 1 official. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Secondary 3official25 38 39 40 41 + 723 Aug 2026, 15:48 UTC
  • Primarycommercial feed25 38 39 40 41 + 729 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 24 April 2024 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

26oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 26 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 6% of every possible ticket.

  • sum97th
  • odd65th
  • low9th
  • widest gap28th
  • neighbours100th
  • spread3th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 248 of each

25231times
38264times
39217times
40253times
41

Prize breakdown · 2024-04-24

  • Lines in play≈ 2.8Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out€3.0Mto 717k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 4lines took a prize
  • rang10 winnerschance said 0.14

Where the money went

  • rang610%€300.0K
  • rang831%€914.0K
  • rang937%€1.1M
  • 5 other tiers22%€653.7K
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1M10MPrize each
  1. rang10≈ 0.14 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

286times
Stars · a separate 1-of-10 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 243 of each

7263times

Every number was expected about that many times after 2,433 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 5 numbers (25, 39, 41) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 23 July 2022 — its closest relative in 2,433 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (22 April 2024): 39 carried over. Chance says 43% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (10% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

183

The numbers add up to 183 — the 97th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 125. Side-by-side numbers: 38–39, 39–40, 40–41. 36% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

25 had not appeared for 17 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.8× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 7% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
€9,000,000
  • rang21≈ 1.3 by chance€158,800
  • rang349≈ 32 by chance€791
  • rang4271≈ 286 by chance€516
  • rang51,415≈ 1.4k by chance€59.00
  • rang610,990≈ 12k by chance€27.30
  • rang724,508≈ 19k by chance€9.50
  • rang8172,449≈ 172k by chance€5.30
  • rang9507,790€2.20
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈2.8M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: rang7 — 24,508 winners, 28% more than the 19k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were noticeably more popular than average — a draw full of birthdays makes more small winners, a draw of high numbers fewer. That is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    rang10€9,000,000
    rang21€158,800
    rang349€791
    rang4271€516
    rang51,415€59.00
    rang610,990€27.30
    rang724,508€9.50
    rang8172,449€5.30
    rang9507,790€2.20