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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Loto · draw

Monday, 18 March 2024

ResultLoto

VerifiedDraw #20244034
  1. 20
  2. 30
  3. 36
  4. 40
  5. 48
  6. 8

Jackpot€11,000,000

The crowdHeld 23% less than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/49 + 1/10 · since Oct 2008draw 2,418 of 3,001 under them

← 2024-03-16All recent draws2024-03-20 →

Where this result came from

Sources2 independent sources agree, 1 official. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Secondary 3official20 30 36 40 48 + 823 Aug 2026, 15:48 UTC
  • Primarycommercial feed20 30 36 40 48 + 829 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 18 March 2024 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

29oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 29 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 8% of every possible ticket.

  • sum95th
  • odd1th
  • low9th
  • widest gap12th
  • neighbours32th
  • spread26th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 247 of each

20239times
30238times
36245times
40251times
48

Prize breakdown · 2024-03-18

  • Lines in play≈ 3.0Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out€2.9Mto 578k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 5lines took a prize
  • rang10 winnerschance said 0.15

Where the money went

  • rang612%€332.3K
  • rang836%€1.0M
  • rang928%€785.5K
  • 5 other tiers25%€722.3K
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1M10M100MPrize each
  1. rang10≈ 0.15 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

237times
Stars · a separate 1-of-10 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 242 of each

8217times

Every number was expected about that many times after 2,417 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 5 numbers (30, 36, 40) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 12 February 2024 — its closest relative in 2,417 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (16 March 2024): nothing carried over. Chance says 43% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (10% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

174

The numbers add up to 174 — the 94th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 125. No two numbers side by side. 36% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

40 had not appeared for 15 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.6× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 11% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
€11,000,000
  • rang24≈ 1.4 by chance€43,889
  • rang329≈ 34 by chance€1,478
  • rang4284≈ 307 by chance€544
  • rang51,484≈ 1.5k by chance€62.20
  • rang613,186≈ 13k by chance€25.20
  • rang721,075≈ 21k by chance€12.20
  • rang8184,742≈ 185k by chance€5.50
  • rang9357,067€2.20
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈3.0M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: rang7 — 21,075 winners, 3% more than the 21k an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    rang10€11,000,000
    rang24€43,889
    rang329€1,478
    rang4284€544
    rang51,484€62.20
    rang613,186€25.20
    rang721,075€12.20
    rang8184,742€5.50
    rang9357,067€2.20