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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Loto · draw

Monday, 11 March 2024

ResultLoto

VerifiedDraw #20244031
  1. 16
  2. 18
  3. 36
  4. 45
  5. 48
  6. 10

Jackpot€8,000,000

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/49 + 1/10 · since Oct 2008draw 2,415 of 3,001 under them

← 2024-03-09All recent draws2024-03-13 →

Where this result came from

Sources2 independent sources agree, 1 official. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Secondary 3official16 18 36 45 48 + 1023 Aug 2026, 15:48 UTC
  • Primarycommercial feed16 18 36 45 48 + 1029 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 11 March 2024 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

54oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 54 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 56% of every possible ticket.

  • sum89th
  • odd9th
  • low32th
  • widest gap62th
  • neighbours32th
  • spread41th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 246 of each

16255times
18228times
36244times
45242times
48

Prize breakdown · 2024-03-11

  • Lines in play≈ 2.8Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out€2.5Mto 458k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 6lines took a prize
  • rang10 winnerschance said 0.15

Where the money went

  • rang612%€310.5K
  • rang838%€955.1K
  • rang922%€560.5K
  • 4 other tiers27%€678.6K
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1M10MPrize each
  1. rang10≈ 0.15 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

236times
Stars · a separate 1-of-10 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 241 of each

10249times

Every number was expected about that many times after 2,414 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 5 numbers (16, 36, 45, 48) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 2 July 2018 — its closest relative in 2,414 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 24% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (9 March 2024): nothing carried over. Chance says 43% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (10% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

163

The numbers add up to 163 — the 89th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 125. No two numbers side by side. 36% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

48 had not appeared for 25 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.5× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 12% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
€8,000,000
  • rang20≈ 1.3 by chance€164,638
  • rang313≈ 32 by chance€15,756
  • rang4257≈ 288 by chance€564
  • rang51,180≈ 1.4k by chance€73.30
  • rang612,226≈ 12k by chance€25.40
  • rang716,265≈ 19k by chance€14.90
  • rang8173,656≈ 174k by chance€5.50
  • rang9254,779€2.20
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈2.8M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: rang7 — 16,265 winners, 16% fewer than the 19k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little less popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    rang10€8,000,000
    rang20€164,638
    rang313€15,756
    rang4257€564
    rang51,180€73.30
    rang612,226€25.40
    rang716,265€14.90
    rang8173,656€5.50
    rang9254,779€2.20