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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Loto · draw

Monday, 22 January 2024

ResultLoto

VerifiedDraw #20244010
  1. 5
  2. 20
  3. 29
  4. 32
  5. 37
  6. 9

Jackpot€4,000,000

The crowdHeld 8% less than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/49 + 1/10 · since Oct 2008draw 2,394 of 2,999 under them

← 2024-01-20All recent draws2024-01-24 →

Where this result came from

Sources2 independent sources agree, 1 official. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Secondary 3official5 20 29 32 37 + 923 Aug 2026, 15:48 UTC
  • Primarycommercial feed5 20 29 32 37 + 929 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 22 January 2024 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

76oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 76 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 99% of every possible ticket.

  • sum47th
  • odd65th
  • low32th
  • widest gap42th
  • neighbours32th
  • spread41th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 244 of each

5239times
20236times
29255times
32236times
37

Prize breakdown · 2024-01-22

  • Lines in play≈ 2.8Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out€2.3Mto 490k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 6lines took a prize
  • rang10 winnerschance said 0.15

Where the money went

  • rang612%€273.9K
  • rang836%€840.1K
  • rang927%€622.9K
  • 4 other tiers26%€595.9K
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1M10MPrize each
  1. rang10≈ 0.15 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

244times
Stars · a separate 1-of-10 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 239 of each

9251times

Every number was expected about that many times after 2,393 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 5 numbers (5, 20, 29, 32) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 13 March 2019 — its closest relative in 2,393 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 24% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (20 January 2024): nothing carried over. Chance says 43% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (10% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

123

The numbers add up to 123 — the 47th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 125. No two numbers side by side. 36% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

20 had not appeared for 28 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.9× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 7% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
€4,000,000
  • rang20≈ 1.3 by chance€144,767
  • rang314≈ 32 by chance€12,864
  • rang4194≈ 291 by chance€657
  • rang51,215≈ 1.4k by chance€62.60
  • rang610,956≈ 13k by chance€25.00
  • rang719,122≈ 19k by chance€11.10
  • rang8175,014≈ 175k by chance€4.80
  • rang9283,119€2.20
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈2.8M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: rang5 — 1,215 winners, 13% fewer than the 1.4k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little less popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    rang10€4,000,000
    rang20€144,767
    rang314€12,864
    rang4194€657
    rang51,215€62.60
    rang610,956€25.00
    rang719,122€11.10
    rang8175,014€4.80
    rang9283,119€2.20