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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Loto · draw

Wednesday, 10 January 2024

ResultLoto

VerifiedDraw #20244005
  1. 12
  2. 28
  3. 32
  4. 38
  5. 45
  6. 9

Jackpot€18,000,000

The crowdHeld 7% less than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/49 + 1/10 · since Oct 2008draw 2,389 of 3,001 under them

← 2024-01-08All recent draws2024-01-13 →

Where this result came from

Sources2 independent sources agree, 1 official. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Secondary 3official12 28 32 38 45 + 923 Aug 2026, 15:48 UTC
  • Primarycommercial feed12 28 32 38 45 + 929 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 10 January 2024 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

53oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 53 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 53% of every possible ticket.

  • sum83th
  • odd9th
  • low9th
  • widest gap49th
  • neighbours32th
  • spread45th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 244 of each

12239times
28243times
32235times
38261times
45

Prize breakdown · 2024-01-10

  • Lines in play≈ 4.2Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out€3.4Mto 724k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 6lines took a prize
  • rang10 winnerschance said 0.22

Where the money went

  • rang612%€404.9K
  • rang836%€1.2M
  • rang927%€913.3K
  • 5 other tiers26%€879.7K
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1M10M100MPrize each
  1. rang10≈ 0.22 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

237times
Stars · a separate 1-of-10 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 239 of each

9250times

Every number was expected about that many times after 2,388 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 5 numbers (12, 32, 45) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 15 July 2023 — its closest relative in 2,388 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (8 January 2024): nothing carried over. Chance says 43% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (10% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

155

The numbers add up to 155 — the 83th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 125. No two numbers side by side. 36% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

32 had not appeared for 7 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.6× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 11% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
€18,000,000
  • rang21≈ 2.0 by chance€214,012
  • rang340≈ 48 by chance€1,306
  • rang4377≈ 432 by chance€500
  • rang51,987≈ 2.1k by chance€56.60
  • rang618,078≈ 19k by chance€22.40
  • rang728,417≈ 29k by chance€11.00
  • rang8260,096≈ 260k by chance€4.70
  • rang9415,146€2.20
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈4.2M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: rang5 — 1,987 winners, 4% fewer than the 2.1k an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    rang10€18,000,000
    rang21€214,012
    rang340€1,306
    rang4377€500
    rang51,987€56.60
    rang618,078€22.40
    rang728,417€11.00
    rang8260,096€4.70
    rang9415,146€2.20