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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Loto · draw

Saturday, 30 December 2023

ResultLoto

VerifiedDraw #20233156
  1. 7
  2. 11
  3. 12
  4. 36
  5. 38
  6. 6

Jackpot€4,000,000

The crowdHeld 28% more than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/49 + 1/10 · since Oct 2008draw 2,384 of 3,001 under them

← 2023-12-27All recent draws2024-01-01 →

Where this result came from

Sources2 independent sources agree, 1 official. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Secondary 3official7 11 12 36 38 + 623 Aug 2026, 15:48 UTC
  • Primarycommercial feed7 11 12 36 38 + 629 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 30 December 2023 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

54oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 54 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 55% of every possible ticket.

  • sum25th
  • odd32th
  • low65th
  • widest gap88th
  • neighbours80th
  • spread37th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 243 of each

7251times
11236times
12238times
36238times
38

Prize breakdown · 2023-12-30

  • Lines in play≈ 6.0Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out€3.9Mto 882k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 7lines took a prize
  • rang10 winnerschance said 0.32

Where the money went

  • rang612%€472.8K
  • rang837%€1.4M
  • rang925%€964.5K
  • 5 other tiers26%€1.0M
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1M10MPrize each
  1. rang10≈ 0.32 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

260times
Stars · a separate 1-of-10 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 238 of each

6217times

Every number was expected about that many times after 2,383 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 5 numbers (12, 36, 38) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 29 May 2023 — its closest relative in 2,383 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (27 December 2023): nothing carried over. Chance says 43% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (10% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

104

The numbers add up to 104 — the 24th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 125. Side-by-side numbers: 11–12. 36% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

11 had not appeared for 12 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.1× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 6% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
€4,000,000
  • rang22≈ 2.9 by chance€125,504
  • rang347≈ 70 by chance€1,304
  • rang4484≈ 628 by chance€457
  • rang52,535≈ 3.0k by chance€52.00
  • rang624,885≈ 27k by chance€19.00
  • rang737,456≈ 42k by chance€9.80
  • rang8377,785≈ 378k by chance€3.80
  • rang9438,429€2.20
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈6.0M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: rang4 — 484 winners, 23% fewer than the 628 an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little less popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    rang10€4,000,000
    rang22€125,504
    rang347€1,304
    rang4484€457
    rang52,535€52.00
    rang624,885€19.00
    rang737,456€9.80
    rang8377,785€3.80
    rang9438,429€2.20