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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Loto · draw

Monday, 25 December 2023

ResultLoto

VerifiedDraw #20233154
  1. 1
  2. 7
  3. 9
  4. 32
  5. 47
  6. 1

Jackpot€2,000,000

The crowdHeld 50% more than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/49 + 1/10 · since Oct 2008draw 2,382 of 3,001 under them

← 2023-12-23All recent draws2023-12-27 →

Where this result came from

Sources2 independent sources agree, 1 official. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Secondary 3official1 7 9 32 47 + 123 Aug 2026, 15:48 UTC
  • Primarycommercial feed1 7 9 32 47 + 129 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 25 December 2023 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

38oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 38 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 19% of every possible ticket.

  • sum17th
  • odd89th
  • low65th
  • widest gap85th
  • neighbours32th
  • spread96th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 243 of each

1254times
7250times
9247times
32234times
47

Prize breakdown · 2023-12-25

  • Lines in play≈ 2.6Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out€1.8Mto 355k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 7lines took a prize
  • rang10 winnerschance said 0.14

Where the money went

  • rang613%€233.8K
  • rang839%€710.0K
  • rang920%€358.1K
  • 4 other tiers28%€510.8K
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1M10MPrize each
  1. rang10≈ 0.14 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

232times
Stars · a separate 1-of-10 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 238 of each

1250times

Every number was expected about that many times after 2,381 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 5 numbers (1, 7, 47) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 2 September 2023 — its closest relative in 2,381 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (23 December 2023): nothing carried over. Chance says 43% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (10% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

96

The numbers add up to 96 — the 17th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 125. No two numbers side by side. 36% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

47 had not appeared for 28 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.2× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 5% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
€2,000,000
  • rang20≈ 1.2 by chance€123,955
  • rang321≈ 30 by chance€7,343
  • rang4198≈ 274 by chance€551
  • rang51,011≈ 1.3k by chance€64.40
  • rang611,576≈ 12k by chance€20.20
  • rang714,134≈ 18k by chance€12.90
  • rang8165,110≈ 165k by chance€4.30
  • rang9162,787€2.20
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈2.6M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: rang7 — 14,134 winners, 23% fewer than the 18k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little less popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    rang10€2,000,000
    rang20€123,955
    rang321€7,343
    rang4198€551
    rang51,011€64.40
    rang611,576€20.20
    rang714,134€12.90
    rang8165,110€4.30
    rang9162,787€2.20